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2022 midterms
July 7, 2021
Why Primary Runoffs Will Matter in the 2022 Midterms
In states without runoffs, Trump targets like Representative Liz Cheney may escape his wrath.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
June 30, 2021
New Data Shows How Biden Won, Where Trump Gained in 2020
A Pew analysis shows that Biden’s suburban boom was real, the gender gap shrank, and Trump’s boost among Latinos was larger than previously known.
By
Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
June 22, 2021
Will Young and Minority Voters Save Democrats in 2022?
With or without some help from Donald Trump, Democrats need to keep the voters who surged to the polls in 2018 and 2020 engaged.
By
Ed Kilgore
polls
May 13, 2021
Polling the Midterms Is Going to Be Risky Business
It’s hard to tell whether 2020 polling errors were about Trump, the pandemic, or something more basic and replicable.
By
Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
Apr. 21, 2021
After the Voting Wars, Who’s Likely to Turn Out in 2022?
The net impact of laws to suppress or expand voting rights is unclear, and will compete with many factors affecting the level and shape of turnout.
By
Ed Kilgore
gavin newsom recall
Apr. 14, 2021
Struggling California Republicans Gamble on Newsom Recall
These are grim times for the GOP in the Golden State. So they are calculating that a long-shot recall drive may be their best best for a win.
By
Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
Mar. 31, 2021
Democrats Have a Good Chance of Holding the Senate in 2022
With the Judiciary on the line, the Senate landscape favors Democrats in the next midterms.
By
Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
Mar. 29, 2021
Watch Democratic Retirements for Clues About House Midterms
History suggests it will be tough for Democrats to hang on to their narrow House majority in 2022. But open seats will be especially hard to defend.
By
Ed Kilgore
joe biden
Mar. 17, 2021
What Joe Biden and George W. Bush Have in Common
Comparing the early performances of our most-recent presidents.
By
Ed Kilgore
recovery
Mar. 16, 2021
Demi Lovato Was Legally Blind Following Her 2018 Overdose
“I didn’t leave myself time to really feel sad about it. I just was like, how do I fix it?”
By
Charu Sinha
crime
Feb. 23, 2021
French Actor Gérard Depardieu Charged in 2018 Rape
Depardieu, 72, is accused of sexually assaulting a then-22-year-old actress at his home in Paris.
By
Zoe Haylock
2022 midterms
Feb. 2, 2021
The 2022 Midterms Could Be Another Referendum on Trump
Biden and Democrats would normally struggle to hold on to Congress in 2022. But Trump sticking around could change the dynamics.
By
Ed Kilgore
my single is dropping
Jan. 15, 2021
DaBaby Addresses Involvement in 2018 Shooting in New Track ‘Masterpiece’
“I don’t know what went down at that Walmart.”
By
Zoe Haylock
2020 elections
Dec. 1, 2020
Republicans Claw Back 4 California Congressional Seats
It wasn’t a good election for California Republicans otherwise, but they did regain ground in the U.S. House.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Nov. 4, 2020
Republicans Make Shocking Gains in the House
Democrats were expected to win several seats, but will instead lose a handful. Nancy Pelosi now faces a potential revolt.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Nov. 4, 2020
The Perpetually Frustrated Dream of the South Turning Blue
There remain signs of optimism for long-suffering southern Democrats, but 2020 was in most respects bitterly disappointing.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Oct. 20, 2020
GOP Hopes That Amy Coney Barrett Would Fire Up the Base Fizzled
It’s unclear that killing Garland’s confirmation or forcing Kavanaugh’s did electoral magic for the GOP. The non-fight over Barrett sure won’t.
By
Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 17, 2020
Two Republicans Could Blow Up Democrats’ Shot at the Senate
How the GOP may just pull off flipping seats in states as different as Alabama and Michigan.
By
Ed Kilgore
supreme court
Oct. 14, 2020
Why the Barrett Hearings Are Generating Less Outrage Than Kavanaugh’s
Unlike Trump’s last Supreme Court pick, Barrett is not embroiled in scandal — but that’s not the only reason the temperature is lower this time.
By
Ed Kilgore
on comedy
Aug. 10, 2020
Unaired 2018
Black-ish
Episode About Trump Is Now on Hulu
It was originally scrapped by ABC due to “creative differences.”
By
Devon Ivie
vision 2020
July 14, 2020
Joe Biden Needs to Win Big to Avoid a Contested Election
If Donald Trump is ahead on Election Night even with a majority of the vote uncounted, look out!
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
July 7, 2020
Ranks of Republican Women in Senate Could Be Decimated in November
As many as four of the GOP’s nine women in the Senate could lose, and a fifth is a prospect for a party switch.
By
Ed Kilgore
john lewis
July 3, 2020
John Lewis’s Lifelong Struggle for Voting Rights Isn’t Over
Once it looked like Obama’s election represented the culmination of John Lewis’s career. A new documentary shows battles for old causes persist.
By
Ed Kilgore
supreme court
July 1, 2020
Trump Wants Another Supreme Court Nomination Fight Before November
Trump thinks a confirmation battle could excite his base, but it would work both ways, particularly among Democrats who remember Merrick Garland.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
June 23, 2020
On a Big Primary Night, It’s Time to — Wait
Get used to it, media. With voting by mail rising, knowing the results of an election an hour after the polls close is over.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
May 10, 2020
If Stacey Abrams Doesn’t Become Veep, a 2022 Rematch With Kemp Looks Promising
If all else fails, the rising Democratic star from Georgia could hold Georgia’s governor accountable for his perilous COVID-19 policies.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
May 6, 2020
Six Months From the Election, Pelosi’s Gavel Seems Secure
With limited presidential momentum, a deficit in open seats, and a gap in the generic ballot, Republicans won’t take the House until at least 2022.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
May 4, 2020
Why Kavanaugh Is the Focus of Republican Attacks on Biden
The GOP would prefer to compare Biden to Kavanaugh, a party-unifying figure, rather than Trump himself, accused of far more misconduct.
By
Ed Kilgore
coronavirus
Apr. 29, 2020
80 Percent of Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Georgia Are African-American
Amid CDC evidence that black Georgians are disproportionately affected by COVID-19, Kemp’s business reopenings could make things much worse.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Apr. 28, 2020
There’s Nothing Wrong With Stacey Abrams’s Campaign to Be Vice-President
Team Biden started the conversation about Abrams as a possible veep. If she’s ready for that tough gig, she should continue to make her case.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Apr. 15, 2020
As Coronavirus Rages, Republicans Still Don’t Have a Health-Care Plan
In a pandemic, Republican fecklessness on health care is likely to be a bigger advantage for Democrats than it was in the 2018 midterms.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Apr. 14, 2020
The Wisconsin Results Should Worry Republicans Everywhere
Democrats’ judicial landslide, despite Republican voter suppression, is another sign all the anticipatory gloating of Trump supporters was premature.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Mar. 30, 2020
Odds of a Contested November Election Are on the Rise
If COVID-19 continues to overshadow the general election, it could be held under circumstances where one party or the other won’t accept the results.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Mar. 2, 2020
Will Pete and Amy’s Abandoned Voters Move to Biden?
It depends on if you believe the “tracks” theory or the “lanes” theory of voter behavior.
By
Ed Kilgore
election reform
Feb. 15, 2020
Sometimes Slow Election Results Are Good for Democracy
We have no birthright to instant election results, particularly when a slow count reflects greater access to the ballot.
By
Ed Kilgore
michael bloomberg
Feb. 13, 2020
Bloomberg Defended Fingerprinting Food-Stamp Applicants As Recently As 2018
In the same 2018 talk, Bloomberg framed the minimum wage as an impediment to job creation.
By
Sarah Jones
immigration
Jan. 16, 2020
New Migrant Caravan Too Far From U.S. Election to Be an Emergency
It’s like the caravan of Fall 2018, but without the same immediate electoral stakes for Republicans.
By
Zak Cheney-Rice
nypd
Jan. 3, 2020
NYPD Officer Michael Reynolds Resigns Over Racist 2018 Home Invasion
But little that he did diverged from what NYPD officers often do on the job.
By
Zak Cheney-Rice
politics
Dec. 31, 2019
Scott Brown and a Perilous Decade For Progressivism
In January 2010 all the excitement associated with Obama’s election began to dissipate after a special election in Massachusetts.
By
Ed Kilgore
the national interest
Dec. 3, 2019
Trump Extorted Ukraine in 2017 and 2018 Before Getting Caught This Year
The Ukraine plot didn’t go on for “months.” It almost certainly went on for
years
.
By
Jonathan Chait
vision 2020
Dec. 2, 2019
‘Checks and Balances’ Voters Could Reelect Trump
Voters who oscillate between the two parties may produce the very abuses of power they claim to fear.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Sept. 26, 2019
Hunter Becomes the Hunted
The embattled California Republican now faces Darrell Issa’s giant bankroll, in addition to federal prosecutors who indicted him for corruption.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Sept. 16, 2019
Trump Relies on Maduro-Bashing to Win Florida Next Year
Trump’s attacks on Maduro are key to winning Florida’s Latino immigrants and boosting his advantage among Cuban-Americans despite his other policies.
By
Ed Kilgore
conspiracy theories
Sept. 13, 2019
McCarthy Still Repeating Bogus Conspiracy Theories About Midterm-Election Theft
House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy is still whitewashing his party’s terrible performance in his home state with lurid tales unsupported by evidence.
By
Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Aug. 29, 2019
Darrell Issa Plots Comeback by Taking Out Duncan Hunter
Issa’s wealth and fame makes him a formidable intraparty opponent for Hunter, who goes on trial in January on lurid corruption charges.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Aug. 15, 2019
Primary Voters Are Focused on Beating Trump, So the Candidates Are, Too
Yes, Democratic presidential candidates are talking a lot about Trump. But that’s mostly because they are auditioning to take him down.
By
Ed Kilgore
stacey abrams
Aug. 13, 2019
Abrams Not Running for President but Will Fight Voter Suppression Nationally
She is keeping her veep options open and may still run for governor of Georgia in 2022.
By
Ed Kilgore
orange county
Aug. 7, 2019
Republicans Are Now Outnumbered in Conservative Bastion of Orange County
Ronald Reagan once called Orange County, California, “where all good Republicans go to die.” Now demographics and Trump are turning it blue.
By
Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Aug. 6, 2019
Democrats Made Big Gains With ‘Anti-Immigration’ Voters in 2018: Study
A new analysis of the midterm electorate sheds light on what happened last fall – and what to expect in 2020.
By
Eric Levitz
vision 2020
July 31, 2019
Maybe Economic Prosperity Isn’t Trump’s Best Friend After All
Fresh evidence from 2018 suggests people experiencing a stronger economy may lean Democratic, which could be why Trump is doubling down on racism.
By
Ed Kilgore
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