It’s not quite October yet, but that doesn’t mean anyone should hold back with their super-early Oscar-nomination predictions. The Envelope has its early pundit poll, and there are only a few clear leaders for acting: Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler), Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road), and Angelina Jolie (Changeling). You need to know only two words for Best Picture so far: Benjamin Button. But maybe when we’re less than four months away from the big night, we’ll have a better idea about these things. [Gold Derby/LAT]