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Oscar Futures

Who’s up, who’s down, and who’s currently leading the race for a coveted golden statue.

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The 12 Oscar Contenders of Christmas

 Which movies have done enough to secure a place in the Best Picture ten, and which are still on the bubble? By Nate Jones

More Oscar Futures

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    The Oscar Contenders Who Got the Biggest Boost From Tastemaker WeekThe first week of December is always a whirlwind, marking the official arrival of Moira Rose’s favorite season.
    By Nate Jones
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    95th Annual Academy Awards - Show
    Big, Happy Families Win OscarsWhich 2024 films will benefit most from the holiday-card dynamic this year?
    By Nate Jones
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    Just How Glicked Will the 2025 Oscars Get?Denzel Washington will take his third statue now.
    By Nate Jones
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    How Every Oscar Movie Can Be the Anti-Trump MovieLike it or not, we’re in for yet another awards season operating in the shadow of Donald Trump. Which campaigns can take advantage of the vibe shift?
    By Nate Jones
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    Are Netflix Normies Ready for Emilia Pérez?An indefinable musical by a French auteur is headed for millions of streaming subscribers. Most of them will be entirely unprepared.
    By Nate Jones
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    What Happens at the Oscars If Hillary Wins in 2016?This election eve, take a trip into the mirror universe where another Clinton’s in the White House.
    By Nate Jones
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    Post-Screening Movie Hype Tweets, DecodedUsing this week’s Gladiator II reactions as a guide, here’s a dictionary for common phrases.
    By Nate Jones
  8. profile
    Trust the Kieran Culkin ProcessFirst, he nearly dropped out of Oscar hopeful A Real Pain. Then he convinced Jesse Eisenberg to change the way he directs.
    By Rachel Handler
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    What Makes Us So Sure Sean Baker Can Sneak Anora Into the Oscars?And nine other unanswered questions hovering over the 2025 Academy Awards season.
    By Nate Jones
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    Saoirse Ronan Has Two Shots at Making This Her Oscar YearHer passion project The Outrun and her first maternal role in Blitz. One is a better bet than the other.
    By Nate Jones
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    Bring on the Oscars ChaosThe 2025 Academy Awards race will be the most wide-open movie season in years. I can’t wait.
    By Nate Jones
  12. gold rush
    How to Bet on Oscar SeasonTwo movie columnists explain how they are making sense of this year’s Academy Awards contenders.
    By Joe Reid and Nate Jones
  13. venice 2024
    With Maria, Can Angelina Jolie Sing for Her Oscar?Singing, stars, drugs, death, comebacks — if Maria checked any more boxes, it’d be a tax form.
    By Nate Jones
  14. gold rush
    Maestro
    Five Lingering Questions After the OscarsIncluding, How can Bradley Cooper finally win an Oscar?
    By Nate Jones
  15. oscars 2024
    Why Emma Stone Beat Lily Gladstone for Best ActressThe Poor Things star’s second Oscar was the most unexpected development on a night that mostly went chalk.
    By Nate Jones
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    Vulture’s Final 2024 Oscar Predictions in Every CategoryOppenheimer looks likely to win a bunch of trophies, but some major races are still up in the air.
    By Nate Jones
  17. movies fantasy league
    The MFL’s Most Valuable Directors and Least Valuable MoviesThe DGA weighs in, plus we take a look at which draft picks aren’t exactly pulling their weight on this year’s rosters.
    By Joe Reid
  18. gold rush
    It’s Time to Talk About the Oscar Best Actress NomineesAs we get into the thick of the season, two women appear to have pulled ahead.
    By Nate Jones
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    Why Maestro Became the Oscar Villain (and Oppenheimer Didn’t)Everyone is rooting against a big, starry awards-season movie — for reasons that have nothing to do with the film’s politics.
    By Nate Jones
  20. gold rush
    How Mad Should I Be About Barbie’s Oscar Nominations?How to complain about the 2024 Academy Awards (without everyone making fun of you).
    By Nate Jones
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    The Snubs and Surprises of the 2024 Oscar NominationsBarbie suffers irrepressible thoughts of death, and Nyad does indeed exist.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Our Final Predictions for the NomineesEvery year, Oscar pundits say the current season is the hardest one they’ve ever tried to predict. And this year, they might be right!
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Who Will Be Our Nomination-Morning Surprise?Which less-heralded contenders will snag a spot at Tuesday’s Oscar nominations?
    By Nate Jones
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    Can Anyone Stop Oppenheimer at the Oscars?The season’s slumbering colossus finally woke up.
    By Nate Jones
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    How Will Barbie’s Screenplay Shake-up Affect the Awards Race?The Academy ruled this week that Greta Gerwig’s film will run in Adapted Screenplay, not Original. How does that impact the rest of the Oscar field?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: The 12 Contenders of ChristmasLet’s get into the Christmas spirit by running down the 12 awards ho-ho-hopefuls with the best chance of nabbing Oscar’s Best Picture.
    By Nate Jones
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    Can an Oscar Contender Be Too Timely?The Zone of Interest and American Fiction, two very different films, stake their claims on a Best Picture spot.
    By Nate Jones
  28. oscar futures
    Oppenheimer Could Dominate the Oscars. Barbie Could Win Best Picture.Oppenheimer is primed to be a major awards contender. But the films that win the top Oscar these days look more like Barbie.
    By Nate Jones
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    Can May December Meme Its Way Into Oscar Contention?Will an Academy that’s never nominated a Todd Haynes film for Best Picture get on the same wavelength as this blend of Ingmar Bergman and TruTV?
    By Nate Jones
  30. timmy wéek
    So When’s Timothée Chalamet Getting an Oscar?The key year may be 2027.
    By Nate Jones
  31. oscar futures
    As Awards Season Picks Up, Critics Are Giving Martin Scorsese His FlowersThe New York Film Critics Circle sprang for Killers of the Flower Moon, which won both Best Picture and Best Actress.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can The Color Purple Strike Gold?The mainstream crowd-pleaser feels destined to light up the holiday box-office, even if critics are more likely to be respectful than besotted.
    By Nate Jones
  33. oscar futures
    Will Napoleon’s Oscar Campaign End in Victory?Ridley Scott’s historical epic charged into the race this week, with a surprise worthy of Austerlitz: The movie is … funny?
    By Nate Jones
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    Which Oscar Contenders Got the Biggest Boost From the End of the Strike?With the end of the SAG-AFTRA strike, Oscar campaigning can finally start in earnest. Which actors will do well on the trail?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is Colman Domingo a Shoo-In for Rustin?The Netflix biopic is being celebrated for Colman Domingo’s performance as the openly gay gadfly who organized the March on Washington.
    By Nate Jones
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    Can Paul Giamatti Finally Get Nominated for Best Actor?The actor’s reunion with director Alexander Payne on The Holdovers offers the Academy the chance to make up for his Sideways snub.
    By Nate Jones
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    Will a Martin Scorsese Movie Ever Win an Oscar Again?Killers of the Flower Moon feels like a contender, though there are concerns this august Osage downer could suffer the same fate as The Irishman.
    By Nate Jones
  38. oscars 2024
    The Actors Are on Strike, But the Awards Shows Go OnHere is our (extremely early) forecast for the biggest Oscar races this (very uncertain) year.
    By Nate Jones
  39. movies fantasy league
    So You Want to Win the Movies Fantasy League?An exhaustive strategy guide to building your team for the 2023–24 MFL season.
    By Joe Reid
  40. oscar futures
    Vulture’s Final 2023 Oscar Predictions in Every CategoryHow many trophies can Everything Everywhere All at Once win?
    By Nate Jones
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    Can Anyone Predict Who’s Going to Win Best Supporting Actress?Breaking down the contenders in the season’s most unpredictable Oscar race.
    By Nate Jones
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    Everything Everywhere All at Once Is the Undeniable Oscars Front-runnerAfter its triple crown of precursor victories, the question is not whether EEAAO will win Best Picture but how many trophies it’ll nab along the way.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Our Final Predictions for the NomineesAhead of Tuesday’s nominations, enjoy Vulture’s official predictions for the eight biggest Oscar races.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Who Will Be Our Nomination-Morning Surprise?All Quiet on the Western Front and Paul Mescal once seemed like long shots but have proved their strength. Who can follow in their footsteps?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Who Got a Boost From the Globes and the Guilds?Who’s on top as Oscars voting begins?
    By Nate Jones
  46. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: The 12 Contenders of ChristmasAs the awards circus takes a midseason break, let’s zoom out to take stock of the Best Picture field.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Avatar: The Way of Water Crack the Best Picture Race?The original Avatar came close to winning Best Picture. Way of Water will be a presence in the race, too.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will The Whale Sink or Swim?Finally out this weekend, Darren Aronofsky’s film has been met with critical harpoons.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is the Academy Ready to Forgive Will Smith?He’s banned from the ceremony for the next ten years, but could Will Smith nab a nomination for Emancipation anyway?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will Damien Chazelle’s Babylon Go Bust?Damien Chazelle’s Jazz Age orgy earned poisonous buzz in its L.A. premiere. But it only takes a few die-hards to see a misunderstood masterpiece.
    By Nate Jones
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