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Oscar Futures

Who’s up, who’s down, and who’s currently leading the race for a coveted golden statue.

oscars 2025

Why the Oscars Put a Ring on Anora

 The Best Picture winner’s early setbacks may have been blessings in disguise. By Nate Jones

More Oscar Futures

  1. gold rush
    Final Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win the Most Uncertain Race in Years?Lacking an Oppenheimer-level colossus, this season has spread the wealth among several unconventional contenders.
    By Nate Jones
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    It Looks Like Emilia Pérez Is the Best Picture Front-runner Right NowA lot can change between now and Oscar night, but here’s a snapshot of what the Best Picture race looks at the start of Phase Two.
    By Nate Jones
  3. gold rush
    Why the Oscars Ignored ChallengersWhen last week’s Oscar nominations had been read, the tennis romance received nary a mention.
    By Nate Jones
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    The Snubs and Surprises of the 2025 Oscar NominationsThe Academy promoted otherwise unheralded contenders to the front of the line and left out a few hopefuls that had looked secure since September.
    By Nate Jones
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    Our Final Guesses for the 2025 Oscar NominationsThis year’s Oscars class did not begin the season especially heralded, but on the precipice of the nominations, its reputation has turned around.
    By Nate Jones
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    Inside the famous Dolby Theatre in Hollywood Boulevard, Los Angeles, California, USA
    What If We Took a Year Off From Kvetching About the Oscars?The 2025 ceremony seems like it will go on as scheduled. How should it address the tragedy in its own backyard?
    By Nate Jones
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    Who Will Escape the Best Actress Cage Match?It’s perennially the most competitive Oscar category, but it’s hard to think of a year more stocked with contenders than 2025.
    By Nate Jones
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    Don’t Underestimate Emilia Pérez With two weeks to go before Oscar nominations, the major threats of the 2025 awards season are making themselves known.
    By Nate Jones
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    The 12 Oscar Contenders of ChristmasWhich movies have done enough to secure a place in the Best Picture ten, and which are still on the bubble?
    By Nate Jones
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    The Unwritten Rule That Still Shapes Oscar CampaignsWhy co-leads like Ariana Grande get “Supporting” nominations.
    By Nate Jones
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    The Oscar Contenders Who Got the Biggest Boost From Tastemaker WeekThe first week of December is always a whirlwind, marking the official arrival of Moira Rose’s favorite season.
    By Nate Jones
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    95th Annual Academy Awards - Show
    Big, Happy Families Win OscarsWhich 2024 films will benefit most from the holiday-card dynamic this year?
    By Nate Jones
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    Just How Glicked Will the 2025 Oscars Get?Denzel Washington will take his third statue now.
    By Nate Jones
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    How Every Oscar Movie Can Be the Anti-Trump MovieLike it or not, we’re in for yet another awards season operating in the shadow of Donald Trump. Which campaigns can take advantage of the vibe shift?
    By Nate Jones
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    Are Netflix Normies Ready for Emilia Pérez?An indefinable musical by a French auteur is headed for millions of streaming subscribers. Most of them will be entirely unprepared.
    By Nate Jones
  16. oscar futures
    What Happens at the Oscars If Hillary Wins in 2016?This election eve, take a trip into the mirror universe where another Clinton’s in the White House.
    By Nate Jones
  17. oscar futures
    Post-Screening Movie Hype Tweets, DecodedUsing this week’s Gladiator II reactions as a guide, here’s a dictionary for common phrases.
    By Nate Jones
  18. oscar futures
    What Makes Us So Sure Sean Baker Can Sneak Anora Into the Oscars?And nine other unanswered questions hovering over the 2025 Academy Awards season.
    By Nate Jones
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    Saoirse Ronan Has Two Shots at Making This Her Oscar YearHer passion project The Outrun and her first maternal role in Blitz. One is a better bet than the other.
    By Nate Jones
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    Bring on the Oscars ChaosThe 2025 Academy Awards race will be the most wide-open movie season in years. I can’t wait.
    By Nate Jones
  21. gold rush
    How to Bet on Oscar SeasonTwo movie columnists explain how they are making sense of this year’s Academy Awards contenders.
    By Joe Reid and Nate Jones
  22. venice 2024
    With Maria, Can Angelina Jolie Sing for Her Oscar?Singing, stars, drugs, death, comebacks — if Maria checked any more boxes, it’d be a tax form.
    By Nate Jones
  23. gold rush
    Maestro
    Five Lingering Questions After the OscarsIncluding, How can Bradley Cooper finally win an Oscar?
    By Nate Jones
  24. oscars 2024
    Why Emma Stone Beat Lily Gladstone for Best ActressThe Poor Things star’s second Oscar was the most unexpected development on a night that mostly went chalk.
    By Nate Jones
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    Vulture’s Final 2024 Oscar Predictions in Every CategoryOppenheimer looks likely to win a bunch of trophies, but some major races are still up in the air.
    By Nate Jones
  26. movies fantasy league
    The MFL’s Most Valuable Directors and Least Valuable MoviesThe DGA weighs in, plus we take a look at which draft picks aren’t exactly pulling their weight on this year’s rosters.
    By Joe Reid
  27. gold rush
    It’s Time to Talk About the Oscar Best Actress NomineesAs we get into the thick of the season, two women appear to have pulled ahead.
    By Nate Jones
  28. gold rush
    Why Maestro Became the Oscar Villain (and Oppenheimer Didn’t)Everyone is rooting against a big, starry awards-season movie — for reasons that have nothing to do with the film’s politics.
    By Nate Jones
  29. gold rush
    How Mad Should I Be About Barbie’s Oscar Nominations?How to complain about the 2024 Academy Awards (without everyone making fun of you).
    By Nate Jones
  30. oscar futures
    The Snubs and Surprises of the 2024 Oscar NominationsBarbie suffers irrepressible thoughts of death, and Nyad does indeed exist.
    By Nate Jones
  31. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: Our Final Predictions for the NomineesEvery year, Oscar pundits say the current season is the hardest one they’ve ever tried to predict. And this year, they might be right!
    By Nate Jones
  32. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: Who Will Be Our Nomination-Morning Surprise?Which less-heralded contenders will snag a spot at Tuesday’s Oscar nominations?
    By Nate Jones
  33. oscar futures
    Can Anyone Stop Oppenheimer at the Oscars?The season’s slumbering colossus finally woke up.
    By Nate Jones
  34. oscar futures
    How Will Barbie’s Screenplay Shake-up Affect the Awards Race?The Academy ruled this week that Greta Gerwig’s film will run in Adapted Screenplay, not Original. How does that impact the rest of the Oscar field?
    By Nate Jones
  35. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: The 12 Contenders of ChristmasLet’s get into the Christmas spirit by running down the 12 awards ho-ho-hopefuls with the best chance of nabbing Oscar’s Best Picture.
    By Nate Jones
  36. oscar futures
    Can an Oscar Contender Be Too Timely?The Zone of Interest and American Fiction, two very different films, stake their claims on a Best Picture spot.
    By Nate Jones
  37. oscar futures
    Oppenheimer Could Dominate the Oscars. Barbie Could Win Best Picture.Oppenheimer is primed to be a major awards contender. But the films that win the top Oscar these days look more like Barbie.
    By Nate Jones
  38. oscar futures
    Can May December Meme Its Way Into Oscar Contention?Will an Academy that’s never nominated a Todd Haynes film for Best Picture get on the same wavelength as this blend of Ingmar Bergman and TruTV?
    By Nate Jones
  39. timmy wéek
    So When’s Timothée Chalamet Getting an Oscar?The key year may be 2027.
    By Nate Jones
  40. oscar futures
    As Awards Season Picks Up, Critics Are Giving Martin Scorsese His FlowersThe New York Film Critics Circle sprang for Killers of the Flower Moon, which won both Best Picture and Best Actress.
    By Nate Jones
  41. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: Can The Color Purple Strike Gold?The mainstream crowd-pleaser feels destined to light up the holiday box-office, even if critics are more likely to be respectful than besotted.
    By Nate Jones
  42. oscar futures
    Will Napoleon’s Oscar Campaign End in Victory?Ridley Scott’s historical epic charged into the race this week, with a surprise worthy of Austerlitz: The movie is … funny?
    By Nate Jones
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    Which Oscar Contenders Got the Biggest Boost From the End of the Strike?With the end of the SAG-AFTRA strike, Oscar campaigning can finally start in earnest. Which actors will do well on the trail?
    By Nate Jones
  44. oscar futures
    Oscar Futures: Is Colman Domingo a Shoo-In for Rustin?The Netflix biopic is being celebrated for Colman Domingo’s performance as the openly gay gadfly who organized the March on Washington.
    By Nate Jones
  45. oscar futures
    Can Paul Giamatti Finally Get Nominated for Best Actor?The actor’s reunion with director Alexander Payne on The Holdovers offers the Academy the chance to make up for his Sideways snub.
    By Nate Jones
  46. oscar futures
    Will a Martin Scorsese Movie Ever Win an Oscar Again?Killers of the Flower Moon feels like a contender, though there are concerns this august Osage downer could suffer the same fate as The Irishman.
    By Nate Jones
  47. oscars 2024
    The Actors Are on Strike, But the Awards Shows Go OnHere is our (extremely early) forecast for the biggest Oscar races this (very uncertain) year.
    By Nate Jones
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    So You Want to Win the Movies Fantasy League?An exhaustive strategy guide to building your team for the 2023–24 MFL season.
    By Joe Reid
  49. oscar futures
    Vulture’s Final 2023 Oscar Predictions in Every CategoryHow many trophies can Everything Everywhere All at Once win?
    By Nate Jones
  50. oscar futures
    Can Anyone Predict Who’s Going to Win Best Supporting Actress?Breaking down the contenders in the season’s most unpredictable Oscar race.
    By Nate Jones
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